For today, I'm looking at beating a false favorite - a horse undeserving of favoritism.
In today's 7th race, it looks like My Golden Opinion will go off 3-1 or less based upon solid Beyer figures sprinting with much better company than this $20,000 claiming group. The problem is My Golden Opinion hasn't won in two years. I don't care how much class he may hold over the rest of the field - an 0-for-16 favorite is too hard for me to swallow.
So let's look elsewhere. This full field of sprinters really lacks speed. Of the horses that can meet the front - Figgy's Freud from the rail, Jaystone and Come Soon from further out - none really strike me as gate to wire winners. The one horse I believe can clear the field and take them all they way around is Wanda's Double. The horse gets the best part of the track, can easily clear horses to his inside and likely will have wilting speed to his inside.
Here's the bet: $1 Exacta Wheel 1A all for $10 and $10 win on 1A for a $20 bet.
Monday's action leaves me minus $26