Hansen – fast, sometimes too
fast and headstrong; he almost guarantees a fast Derby pace
Daddy Long Legs – the Dubai
to Derby record is poor; for me he’s a toss
Union Rags – beautiful specimen,
never out of the money, but sometimes erratic stretch runs make me nervous
Dullahan – I think he’s
grossly overrated; this field is much better than the one Animal Kingdom beat
moving from turt-to-synethtic-to-dirt
Creative Cause – blinkers
on-blinkers off never a good move before Derby Day just ask Stay Thirsty
Gemologist – unbeaten and
solid Churchill Downs form, he’ll be on top of my tickets
Sabercat – Delta Downs
winners usually don’t make it this far, so consider this a moral victory
Take Charge Indy – Calvin
Borel in the saddle guarantees low odds for FL Derby winner
Bodemeister – speed figures
say he just might break the “no win at 2” jinx
I’ll Have Another – two
straight Left Coast stakes victories, but also two dream trips
Daddy Nose Best – beat second-tier
Derby contenders in New Mexican desert, but I like him
Liasion – lots of success at
two; none at three
Alpha – any setbacks on the
way to Derby bother me; like him, don’t love him
Prospective – no horse has
won Derby finishing less than fifth in final prep; he finished sixth in Blue
Grass
Trinniberg – looks like,
runs like and was breed to be a…sprinter; which means he probably finishes in
the money
Done Talking – will have no
say in outcome; too slow
Went the Day Well – I bet on
Animal Kingdom and you sir are no Animal Kingdom
Rousing Sermon – the
connections take him because has the earnings, never a good idea
Mark Valeski – nothing wrong
with two strong seconds, except Fair Grounds doesn’t really produce Derby winners
El Padrino – failed to fire
in FL Derby when caught wide, needs a perfect trip running with 19 others...doubtful
Well, that's it for now...I'll be blogging and producing video for Horse Nation from Churchill...just 10 days away
I love the contender commentaries! :)
ReplyDeleteI'm still on Union Rags right now but there's so many good ones that have me intrigued. Hansen would be a fun winner and Bodemeister looks really good but I'm not sure he's ready to rate kindly in a 20 horse field.
I'll Have Another and Trinniberg are starting to catch my interest...especially I'll Have Another.
Have fun at the Derby, I'll be looking forward to seeing those videos on HRN! :)
~Brian Appleton~