A Leg Up: Derby Future Pool #1

Saturday, February 19, 2011

Derby Future Pool #1

Look, if you feel even a tinge of luck or the obligation to take a shot in any Derby pool, Number 1 is probably your best chance to make some dough - upsides may still yet to be revealed, favorites may get hurt and many other insanities or probablities are liable to occur from now until May 7. So if you're going to take a shot, take a big one.

Here's my top three:

Clubhouse Ride finished a game second to Tapizar in the Sham while beating next out winner, Anthony's Cross in the process. This son of Candy Ride likely improves in his next start in the San Felipe Stakes, so why not throw a few bucks in at 99-1 in case he does?

Rouge Romance closed into a slow Risen Star Stakes pace (24.67, 49.24, 1:13.77) while being beat by less than three lenghts. Considering this was his first start off his third place finish in the BC Juvenile, he's likely to improve next time out. At least he's one of the few to race before the pool closes on Sunday, and I say, 45-1 is better than you'll get May 7, if he goes.

Sweet Ducky was absolutely game while getting beat by Dialed In in Holy Bull Stakes. Sure he's more likely to fall of the trail than dramatically improve, but 80-1 might be worth $10 to find out.

If you're jumping in the pool, good luck, you'll need it.

2 comments:

AmateurcapperFebruary 20, 2011 at 1:17 AM
Tony B B,

Have to believe there will be some major adjustments in the odds tomorrow. Here's some I think will come way down:
ANTHONY'S CROSS - already two solid races, #15 earnings
MUCHO MACHO MAN - won Risen Star, #8.
SANTIVA - 2nd Risen Star, G.2 winner, #9.
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Tony Bada BingFebruary 20, 2011 at 8:59 AM
Rob,

Have to agree with on odds, all the more reason to take a shot.

Anthony's Cross suspect breeding for 10 furlongs
Mucho Macho Man pressed a slow pace and inherited the lead
Santiva - I like, but future odds should be big enough to match risk/reward and I don't think his odds will be big enough.

Are you taking a shot???
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Let me 'splain

For those not totally immersed in the Thoroughbred horse racing world, trainers give "a leg up" to the jockeys contracted to ride their horses.

You may remember giving your friend ten fingers - both hands clasped together to be used as a stepping stool or launching pad - in order to reach a tree branch, jump a fence or to be vaulted into a swimming pool. In the real world "a leg up," may mean gaining a foothold into a competitive marketplace or receiving much needed help or advice from friend.

It is in this spirit of friendship both the childhood kind and the kind formed trackside that I launch and hopefully maintain this blog. In the midst of it all, maybe you'll find an advantageous betting angle or learn about a new jockey on top a hot horse. One can only hope.

I am no expert in blogging nor do I pretend to be a horse racing expert (betting or conditioning). Just a fan with probably too much to say. But if you're willing to read, I'm willing to write.