Saturday, May 15, 2010

Preakness Pick

My father was fond of saying, "Don't make an easy job hard." Soooooo....my Preakness pick is Super Saver. Here's why:

  • While his critics will be picking against him, say Calvin Borel led Super Saver through a perfect trip for the Derby, which made winning it easy, many horses get perfect trips and fail.
  • Derby winners have great success on Preakness day.
  • Here's where Pletcher and just about every other trainer's lightly raced schedule pays dividends - Super Saver will race for only the fourth time this calendar year.
  • Finally, Borel gets to pick and choose how he wants to go - if others go for the lead he can lay back, if no one goes for the front Super Saver has enough speed to win on the front end.
Really 5-2 would be a gift on Super Saver. I'll be playing him to win and placing him on top in exacta, trifecta and superfecta wheels. My spread will not be as wide, but I will offer myself just a bit of protection.

Preakness bets:

$10 exacta 8-12 - I like Dublin to step way up with Gomez aboard

$1 trifecta wheel 7-8/1-7-8-12/1-5-6-7-10-12 for $28 for a little protection in case it was the rider and not the horse in Lookin at Lucky's case

$1 superfecta wheel 8/1-7-12/1-5-6-7-10-12/2-5-6-9 for a $54 superfecta stab....

Good luck with all your Preakness wagers

2 comments:

  1. Don't think it was the rider...just a case of bad mojo that got broken with the rider switch. One thing's certain, Garcia has become the barn's tentative #1 jockey off his early 2010 results for Baffert.

    LOOKIN AT LUCKY proved he's the champion and should probably be going for a Triple Crown instead of getting a freshening.

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  2. Lookin at Lucky certainly proved his championship form from last year and removed, at least for me, that there's any doubt he has the potential to be just as great this year and beyond.

    The Derby post and either horse or rider tentativeness were a problem two weeks ago. Better post and who knows...

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