So my question to you is, Where are you?
I know where I've landed, so let me tell you all about...
A mainstay of handicapping a race - besides finding the winner - is to eliminate the losers. The tosses where made in a previous post, but if you're too lazy to scroll down, let's review:
Homeboykris - 150-1 would be generous
Dublin - unfortunately yesterday's news
American Lion - fighting for the lead
Discreetly Mine - see American Lion
Sidney's Candy - see Discreetly Mine
Line of David - see Sidney's Candy
Stately Victor - somehow becoming overrated at 30-1
Dean's Kitten - forgotten and probably should be
Awesome Act - thrown shoe may have been least of his problems in Wood
A few more to toss:
Devil May Care - goes because Johnny V. is available to ride, sounds like an afterthought
Make Music for Me - last minute additions, Mine That Bird aside, usually don't hit the board
Backtalk - 24 lengths back in last two graded stakes, yikes
Jackson Bend - likable little horse, but finished 8 and 9 lengths behind in last two
Those that get in (at least on the superfecta tickets):
12 Conveyance - certainly won't win, but something tells me he hangs around for small piece
3 Noble's Promise - back and forth on this one, but huge wet pedigree makes me put him in for second, third or fourth
10 Paddy O'Prado - either upset threat or pretender, Desormeaux is riding very well these days
2 Ice Box - with all the upfront speed, somebody has to close late and pass tired horses
14 Mission Impazible - speed figures going the right way and may be forgotten Pletcher horse
1 Lookin At Lucky - sure tough post, but has overcome much adversity already - gets top spot on trifecta ticket
4 Super Saver - the pick - has romped in slop and at Churchill - with crafty rider Calvin Borel getting first run on tiring speed horses
Plays rain or shine:
$1 Exacta Wheel 2-4-10/1-2-4-10-14 for $12. This is a long shot special
$1 Trifecta Wheel 1-2-4/1-2-3-4-14/1-2-3-12-14 for $42. This is including Lookin At Lucky on top just in case
$1 Superfecta Wheel 4/1-2-3-14/1-2-3-14/1-2-3-14 $24. Keeping it simple
In case you're playing on Oaks Day - 82 and sunny, thank you very much...
Starting with Race 9
$1 Pick Three: 2-3-6-7-8/1/2-3-5-8-11-13 for $30.
I'm going against singling Blind Luck in the feature, Oaks and final leg and instead singling Setsuko in Race 10 - who trainer Richard Mandella was hoping to get into the Derby and who DRF's Mike Welsch thought galloped the best this week. The Alysheba also gets a big spread with hopes of Flying Private winning it and setting up a big score....
Good luck with all your wagers!