Saturday, February 20, 2010

Big Derby Prep Saturday

Here's the lineup:

Fountain of Youth

Chalk: Buddy's Saint, if he can run back to Nashua Beyer speed figure of 101, he'll be tough. Although, coming back from a 20-point Beyer drop and three month layoff I'm willing to take a stand against.

Who I'll cheer for: Jackson Bend, underrated, suspect breeding but his trainer, Nick Zito knows how to get three-year-olds ready.

Upset possibility: Aikenite gets his regular rider back, Alan Garcia, and will have a pace to run into, but he must overcome the track basis against such moves.

Risen Star

Chalk: Drosselmeyer's connections make him the likely favorite: Winstar, Mott, Desormeaux, but who knows how good this colt is coming off a decent allowance win at Gulfstream?

Who I'll cheer for: Ron the Greek, most likely second choice. It's hard to route against Triple Crown possibilities coming out of Remenington, Hoosier and Delta.

Upset possibility: Discreetly Mine an improving colt by Mineshaft second off layoff for Todd Pletcher will give you a good ride at 5-1 or better.

Southwest Stakes

Chalk: Conveyance gets the lead from far outside but will have his hands full with Dryfly to his inside.

Who I'll cheer for: I love Dublin's Spa form - convincing maiden win and Hopeful Stakes win - which he is likely to return to following minor surgery. Watch out Lukas is back!

Upset possibility: Cardiff Giant, one of the other Left Coast horses in town may put it all together on dirt. Then again, maybe not...


  1. Hey Tony, I really like Stay Pat in the Risen Star. Not sure if he can beat Drosselmeyer but I think he finishes ahead of Ron the Greek. Good luck in the P4 today.

  2. Another near miss in the Pick 4...ugh!

  3. Tony, I barely have enough time to write my own blog yet alone read others, but I enjoyed your blog after reading a bit. Thanks again for pointing out my miss of Red. The Turk.